Journal Acceptance Probability: How to Estimate Your Real Chances Before You Submit
"What is the acceptance rate?" is the wrong question, because the published rate describes everyone who submitted, including the half who never should have. The right question is: what is the acceptance probability for this paper at this journal? That number cannot be looked up, but it can be estimated, and the estimate tells you where to submit first, what to fix before submitting, and when to stop hoping and move on.
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